Note: The statistics belong to Monday, March 31 - 16.00.

It is scientifically known that viruses are affected by temperature and ultraviolet. Especially from 25-26 degrees, the virus is adversely affected. However, there are so many factors in the evolvement of a pandemic and its spreading rate. The population density in the settlements, human mobility, life habits, education level of the countries, the quality of health services and organizational ability etc. none of the factors can be considered as determinant alone. Regarding the temperature,  it is just said that it is possible to come across an infection in hot geographies.

Association of Public Health Specialist (HASUDER) has compared the number of cases seen on the same dates with the ecological research logic and the temperature and humidity rates of all geographies day by day as of January 1st. 3 p.m, where the temperature was relatively higher, was used as the heat clock. Although more point data was used, the process was examined day by day. Since it is known that the longest incubation period of the virus is up to 14 days, it is useful to examine the previous period while evaluating the point data.

The first map shows air temperatures in the world on January 1. The temperature increases as it goes dark red.  The colour pink is the temperature (25-26 degrees) that is said that the virus is affected. At this date, Wuhan has humidity between 80-90%  in 5 degrees. How is India, whose hygiene, we said, is so bad? It varies between 25-30 degrees.

Cases started to appear in Wuhan. Temperature 1-2 degrees, Humidity 90-100%. The humidity in India varies between 40-50%, the temperature varies between 15-30 degrees. No cases yet. There are no cases anywhere other than China on this date.

The number of cases in Hubei (Wuhan) reached 9074. The temperature is 11 degrees, humidity is 60%. However, between January 15 and February 1, the temperature goes between 5-6 degrees and humidity is around 80-100%. The north of India is 16-18 degrees, the south is 30-32 degrees and humidity is 20-40%. The first 2 cases were seen in Lombardia in Italy. The temperature is 7-8 degrees in Lombardia and around 15 degrees in the south. There are no cases in the south. The humidity rate is 80-90% in Lombardia. On this date, the first cases are emerging in Australia (January 25). This place is both hot and it is one of the places that is asked that why there are cases. But remember, there are many factors other than heat. The first cases occur in Melbourne. Australia is hot and there is no humidity, but the Southeast Australian coastline, including Melbourne, is 16-21 degrees, humidity is 80-100%, so it's not hot but rather ideal for viruses. Moreover, four cities in this region, Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane, have more than half the population of Australia, with the exception of other cities. The infection is already spreading here.

There are 56 thousand 249 cases in Hubei (Wuhan). The epidemic is approaching the peak. Temperature is 1 degree, humidity is 90-100%. There have been 3 cases in India. Temperature is around 22-33, humidity is around 20-40%. Case in Italy increased to 3. Temperature is 10-12 degrees, humidity is 50-60%. There are still no cases in Iran. The first cases were seen in Spain, France, and Germany. The temperature is 10-12 degrees in Spain and France, lower in Germany. Humidity ranges from 60-80%. The number of cases in Australia is 15. In the South East, where cases are dense, the temperature is 14-20 degrees, humidity is still 90-100%.

Let's come to the 5th map on March 1. Hubei (Wuhan) completed the peaks, his active cases began to decrease rapidly. Temperature is 10 degrees, humidity is 70-80%. It can be said that the temperature did not rise, why the number of cases is falling. With those strict measures taken by China, the number of cases would drop everywhere. There are still 3 cases in India. Temperature ranges from 25-34 degrees from north to south, humidity varies by 20-40%. Italy increased to 713 thousand cases in 2 weeks. The temperature is around 6-7 degrees in the north and 15 degrees in the south.Humidity decreases 90% in most and a little in the south. However, cases have been collected in the north. There are between 70-130 cases in Spain, France and Germany. The temperature varies between 7-15 degrees in all three countries. Humidity is at the level of 70-80%. The first cases in Iran begin in the city of Kum as of February 19 (February 8, 8 degrees, 50% humidity). Kum is quite cold before this date. The number of cases in Australia has increased to 30. Most of the cases are in the South-East. Australia is hot, but this region maintains 14-20 degrees, 70-80% humidity.

Now China is fading. Wuhan has reached 18 degrees, with humidity in the 40%. But if we repeat, the measures taken here put out the outbreak. The number of cases in India is 117. The north is 20 to 25 and the south is 35 degrees. Europe has lost the control. Italy has 24 thousand 938, Spain 7 thousand 753, France 5 thousand 423 and Germany 4 thousand 838 cases. Temperatures range from 9-16 degrees. The humidity is 50-70% in Spain, but Germany and France sometimes reach 90% in this period. Iran has 13 thousand 908 cases. The precaution delay in the city of Kum brought 14 thousand cases in two weeks. The temperature is between 0 and 20 degrees. A wide geography. Humidity is low outside the Caspian coast. Australia increased the number of cases to 313. The weather has also cooled. Areas with many cases are 7-18 degrees, places with few cases are 30-33 degrees. The places with humidity case density are 80-100%, others 20-30%. The first cases appeared in Turkey. These are mostly from abroad. At this point, it is not very accurate to evaluate the temperature and humidity, but it is still useful to give the values. The northern lane is 7-8 degrees, the south lane is 15-19 degrees.

No need to speak China. India has 656 cases. Meanwhile, the population of India is 1 billion 380 million. The temperature ranges from 26 to 37 from north to south. The case speed is very low. A limited zone is 22 degrees. Moisture generally varies between 20-40. Italy reached 80 thousand 589, Spain 57 thousand 786, France 29 thousand 155 and Germany 43 thousand 211 cases. Italy -1 to 10 degrees, there is a lot of precipitation; humidity is in the 90-100% band. 6-12 degrees, except for the southern coast of Spain. France and Germany are a bit colder. Humidity is lower in Germany at 40-60%. Iran has found 29,406 cases. In the last two weeks, the weather has cooled down from -2 to 17 degrees, on average 5-6 degrees. Moisture increased (60-100%), rains increased. The number of cases in Australia is 2 985. The weather has been getting cold in the last two weeks, especially in areas with a high density of cases (7-17 degrees), and the middle and North West are still hot (30-32 degrees). However, there are few cases here. Of these cases, 2,746 (91.2%) belong to the southern and eastern states, which are cold and rainy. Turkey has reached 3 thousand 528 cases. Temperatures have changed between 7-14 degrees in the past week. In the south, temperatures were higher but below 20 degrees. Humidity was between 50-90% in the past week.

There were also confusing geographies among these countries. For example, island countries between Thailand and Australia and Brazil. The temperature was high in these countries. So why was the case coming out? Firstly, the number of cases of these countries is quite reasonable compared to the epidemic generation. On the other hand, all of them had large populated cities and people were living together (especially Brazil, Thailand and so on.) Many of them were central transfer points, which we call hubs in international air traffic. And in all of them the humidity rates were between 80-100% since January (8th map, white areas very high humidity). These features may explain the relatively few cases observed in these regions despite the temperature. Other hot countries, Arab countries, the number of cases here is very limited.

All this review tells us; the virus likes cold and humid weather, and the propagation rate seems to have a relationship with temperature-ultraviolet level that we cannot fully reveal. However, it is not the only and leading factor that determines the course of this epidemic. If the necessary precautions are not taken, the epidemic can take its head in hot regions and take necessary and strict measures to extinguish the epidemic even under unfavourable climatic conditions such as China. Logically, from person to person through droplet (coughing, sneezing, speaking from close range), the temperature should not have much effect. However, it makes it difficult for the virus to survive in our hands, clothes, objects, and outside. This plays a role in limiting the volume of the epidemic.

Well, if we consider the temperature as a factor, how will the climate change in the coming days? Of course, we will have unsuitable weather conditions for the virus within 3-4 weeks, starting from the southern regions. The climate will not have much effect on Europe.

However, in this 3-4 week period, that is, in the growth phase of the epidemic, it seems that the warming of the air will not help us. Probably at that time, we peak the outbreak and start turning down the outbreak curve. However, it is highly likely that the outbreak will speed up the phase of extinction and withdrawal from society. So we are alone with the measures we listed earlier in preventing the outbreak from growing. We cannot compromise our measures. We will catch patients in the community, control their contacts, stay at home, take care of personal hygiene measures and maintain social distance. Then, the climate will help us as an external force in removing this epidemic from our country and it will have difficulties in repeating the epidemic. At this stage, especially Mediterranean Countries will benefit from this effect.

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Aktekin - Asst. Prof. Mestan Emek

IKU Deep Learning Club organized the” Artificial Intelligence Coronavirus” panel online on Saturday, March 28 through the Discord application. Yusuf Yeşil and Ömer Özgür, Ceren Yüksel and Ali Mirzaei from the Yeşil Science team attended the event as speakers, which continued for 3 hours with the participation of 104 people. In the event where topics discussed such as Artificial Intelligence and Coronavirus in Health, the spread and attack mechanism of the virus, effective methods of protection from the epidemic, and solutions that can be produced against the virus and the virus, the questions of the participants were answered.

Dear Graduate,

The reality of a pandemic that has infiltrated all areas of life throughout the world has profoundly influenced the flow of our lives. During this period, we try to protect ourselves and our loved ones with individual measures. However, this is a multidimensional struggle, as we all know. In order to leave the process behind with health and safety, there is a need for solidarity mobilization at the social level as much as our existence effort at the individual or family level. We, as Kültür graduates and members; we always defend and internalize in life; We have the power to do our best in our solidarity mobilization with our principles of universality, continuous improvement and development, individual and social awareness, respect for nature and the environment, and our efforts for solidarity.

As İKÜMED and KÜMED, we have initiated a study for the needs of healthcare workers serving with great devotion in this process. We contacted the Kültür Science High School graduate doctors and identified the needs. Now it is time to provide the basic supplies to be used in the hospital. Nowadays, when time is vital, we want to state that every contribution you provide to the budget of our solidarity project is very valuable in order to deliver the materials quickly; We wish to greet healthy days together as soon as possible.

İKÜMED Board of Management

Definite cases: Turkey (10.827), World (801 thousand 400)

Death:             Turkey (168), World (38 thousand 743)

WHO Risk Assessment: Global level - Very High